Texas Christian Horned Frogs 2016 College Football Betting Preview

The Horned Frogs hit a rough patch late last season, derailing hopes of making the College Football Playoff. And now they have to replace their starting quarterback, leading rusher and leading receiver. But this program has proven resilient several times before under Coach Patterson – like last January in the Alamo Bowl.

Last Year in Review

TCU hoped to make the CFP last season, and the oddsmakers were with them, sending the Frogs off among the top four on most national championship boards. And with a little luck they got to 8-0. But losses to Oklahoma State and Oklahoma (a heart-breaker), along with a couple of key injuries, popped their balloon. Then, just when we thought they were dead, TCU beat Baylor in double-overtime, then pulled off a minor miracle, rallying from a 31-0 halftime deficit in the Alamo Bowl against Oregon to win 47-41 in triple-OT – without quarterback Trevone Boykin. We totally forgot they finished No. 7 in the finals polls.

2015 Record: 11-2 SU, 7-6 ATS
2016 regular-season wins over/under: 8
2016 odds to win Big 12: 6/1

This Year in Preview

TCU brings back just 10 starters this season, tied for the least in the conference. However, that figure is a bit misleading, because the Frogs bring in several transfers who should contribute right away, including former Texas A&M quarterback Kenny Hill, and they get some guys back from injury. Technically, only three starters are back on offense, following the loss of Boykin, leading rusher Aaron Green, leading receiver Josh Doctson and four along the offensive line. But seven starters return on what should be a vastly improved defense, after giving up 27 points per game last year.

The Schedule

Former longtime Southwest Conference rivals renew acquaintances when Texas Christian hosts Arkansas in Week 2. From there the Frogs get Oklahoma, Texas Tech, Oklahoma State and Kansas State also at home, while their toughest road dates are at West Virginia, at Baylor and at Texas. If things go right, TCU could win 11-12 games; they could also lose four or five.

Betting The Horned Frogs This Season

This team is a little tough to read at the moment. Transfers bring talent, but need time to mesh, too. TCU might not be the best bet early in the season, and may deserve a fade in the big game against the Sooners in Week 5. But the defense should be improved, and good defenses are good bets on the road.

Dizzy McGee

Dizzy McGee has been hooked on sports betting since the day he hit a 3-team NFL parlay at the age of 10. With 30 years of sports betting under his belt he now shares his betting insights and theories by writing about them at WagerTalk.

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