The undefeated TCU Horned Frogs snatched yet another strong win over the Mountaineers last weekend and they’re ready to take on the Kansas State Wildcats who already have two losses after first five weeks of play. The hosts are coming off from a heartbreaking road defeat against the Longhorns in a game that saw two overtimes (34:40).
The Horned Frogs are 3-2 against the spread this season (2-0 on the road) and they are 2-3 in Over/Under (1-1 on the road). The Wildcats on the other side are 2-3 against the spread (2-1 at home) and 3-2 in Over/Under (2-1 at home). The bookies are giving a slight advantage to the visitors at -6, while the total is set at 53 points.
Wildcats vs. Horned Frogs
Spread: Kansas State +6 (-110); TCU -6 (-110) Get the latest CFB odds direct from Las Vegas with WagerTalk Live Lines
Moneyline: Kansas State -230; TCU +190
Totals: Over/Under 53 (-110)
KANSAS STATE WILDCATS
The Kansas State Wildcats will have to get ready for a first of two-straight home soil games against ranked opponents and it’s not going to be easy after that bitter loss last week in Austin. The team has already suffered two defeats this season (at Vanderbilt in week 3) and this upcoming game is now looking very important because .500 percent after two months of play would not look good in the eyes of the fans.
Sophomore receiver Dalton Schoen led the team against the Longhorns with 128 receiving yards and two scores while Alex Delton and Alex Barnes split the carries gaining 81 and 60 rushing yards. Delton also scored two touchdowns. Junior defensive back D.J. Reed stepped up defensively recording three tackles and one interception (his second this season).
According to the stat sheet, the Wildcats are recording 405.4 total yards per game in the offense this season (194.2 passing yards and 211.2 rushing yards) and 6.6 yards per play. On the other side of the field, they allow 356.0 total yards per game to their opponents (226.4 passing yards and 129.6 rushing yards) and 4.9 yards per play.
Senior QB Jesse Ertz tops the team in passing yards (930 yards, seven touchdowns, and three interceptions) and rushing yards (336 rushing yards, 5.2 yards per carry and three scores). Sophomore wide receiver Isaiah Zuber leads the receiving corps with 20 total catches and 227 receiving yards along with three touchdowns. Senior linebackers Trent Tanking and Jayd Kirby are stepping up defensively as they’ve managed to record 37 and 36 total tackles so far.
Reid Najvar is out for the entire season due to issues with a concussion while starting QB Jesse Ertz who has had some knee afflictions is listed as probable for Saturday.
TCU HORNED FROGS
If the Horned Frogs emerge victorious on Saturday, they will be 4-0 against the teams they’ve lost last season (Arkansas, Oklahoma State, West Virginia already fell) at the midpoint of 2017 season. This is their fifth 5-0 season start in fifteen seasons under coach Gary Patterson and things are looking good right now in Manhattan.
In a win against the Mountaineers, the team effort was the key ingredient. Kyle Hicks, Darius Anderson, Kenny Hill, Jalen Reagor and Shaun Nixon split the carries for 171 total rushing yards while John Diarse, Jaelan Austin, Desmon White and Dylan Thomas carried the receiving end recording 184 receiving yards combined. The Horned Frogs also had more than 100 total offensive yards less than WVU but it made no difference to the final score.
Offensively, they are recording 478.8 total yards per game (259.0 passing yards and 219.8 rushing yards) and 6.5 yards per play. They allow 360.4 total yards per match to their opponents (256.4 passing yards and 104.0 rushing yards) and 5.4 yards per play. The Horned Frogs’ offensive leader senior QB Kenny Hill has 1153 passing yards, 10 touchdowns, and three interceptions. Defensive leaders are senior linebacker Travin Howard with 38 and senior safety Nick Orr with 31 total tackles. Orr also recorded two interceptions so far.
Julius Lewis is expected to miss the remainder of the season with an unspecified injury while Patrick Morris (knee) is expected to miss four-to-five weeks.
Wildcats vs. Horned Frogs Betting Lines
There is a reason the Horned Frogs are considered as a favorite in this duel. They are 5-0 so far into the season but more importantly, they are especially successful when visiting as they are 41-14 on the road and neutral-site games since 2009 and that’s the second-best mark in the nation. On the other side, Wildcats’ QB is listed as probable because of a knee injury and he will probably not be as mobile as he usually is even if he does play and that should have a big impact on the Wildcats run game having in mind that he’s the team leader in that aspect. I think that TCU has the upper hand here and 53 points in total also sounds a bit much so I would go under.
My Pick: TCU -6 (-110)
Totals: Under 53 (-110)