Buffalo and Atlanta (-8, 48.5) enter Week 4 of the 2017 National Football League slate coming off victories. The Bills pulled off a 26-16 win at New Era Field in Orchard Park last Sunday while the Falcons escaped Ford Field in Detroit with a 30-26 victory over the Lions. Kickoff on Sunday is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia. The offensive minded Falcons host the strong defense of the Bills. Prez’ NFL Sunday Free Pick: Bills at Falcons.

Buffalo’s defense is the fuel that sparks the offense. The Bills “D” has been nothing short of dominant in September. While the Marcell Dareus led unit allowed the Broncos 366 total yards a week ago the majority of those game in garbage time. Without a game breaker on the outside the offense depends on the duo of quarterback Tyrod Taylor and running back LeSean McCoy. The Bills running game hasn’t overwhelmed the opposition this year with both Taylor and McCoy combining for just 246 yards on the ground. McCoy, however, has been Taylor’s second option in the passing game, with 18 catches for 131 yards on the year.

The Buffalo defensive front have 10 sacks in the first three games and the secondary has yet to allow a passing touchdown. have recorded 10 sacks in their first three games and have yet to allow a passing touchdown. The Falcons have won the last four meetings dating to Buffalo’s last victory in the series in 1995.

Atlanta’s Super Bowl calling offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan resides on the west coach as head coach of the San Francisco 49ers but the Falcons are still one of the league’s top scoring units. The Falcons rank fifth in the NFL at 29 points per game after three games. Quarterback Matt Ryan and their 29 points per game square off against the top scoring defense (12.3 points) in the league. Ryan manages a balanced offense with running backs Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman combining to average 146 rushing yards per game. Julio Jones leads the team in receptions with tight end Austin Hooper playing the part of the game breaking receiver averaging over 28 yards per catch.

Defense, like last year, is the clubs Achilles, allowing 22 points per game, and winning two of their first three games by less than a touchdown.

Atlanta’s 3-0 mark is somewhat deceiving. The Falcons could easily be 1-2 entering this Week 4 event. Atlanta escaped Soldier Field in Week 1 with a closely contested win over the Bears and last Sunday’s four point win over the Lions came with Detroit falling a yard short of the end zone as time expired.

Ryan, Freeman and Jones vs. the Buffalo defense makes for an entertaining affair on Sunday. With all due respect to the Super Bowl runners-up – the Bills are in a position to control the line of scrimmage – especially the reconstructed right side of Falcons’ offensive line where Ty Sambrailo replaces starting right tackle Ryan Schraeder and right guard Wes Schweitzer enters Sunday’s game with only four NFL starts under his belt.

Atlanta wins on Sunday’s by putting points on the scoreboard and evidence of this is the fact that the franchise has gone “OVER” the total in 18 of last 22 games. This weekend they struggle to run the football and keep Ryan clean in the pocket. The result is a two-plus turnover performance by the Bills defense making the value-play in this game Buffalo plus the points.

Prez’ NFL Sunday Free Pick: Bills at Falcons

Play the Buffalo Bills plus the points in Atlanta on Sunday. 

 

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The Prez

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