Southampton barely avoided the relegation from the Premier League last season thanks to a good run in the last matches. However, they cannot allow this to happen again this season. They will now start the new season on Sunday, when they will play host to Burnley. Burnley did an excellent job last season and actually secured a European ticket.
Date/Time: 8-12-2018, 08:30 EDT
Spread: Southampton -0.5
Total: 2 Goals
Southampton struggled really hard in the Premier League last season, finishing 17th with 36 points, just three ahead of the red line. They grabbed a massive win against Swansea and remained undefeated in their last four in order to do so. Southampton also struggled in the Carabao Cup as they exited in the second round. However, they did a great job in the FA Cup as they reached the semi-finals of the competition. Southampton kept coach Mark Hughes but he is one of the most likely coaches to be sacked first. They sold one of their best players (Tadic) and did very little to replace him.
On the other hand, Burnley did a spectacular job last season, as they finished at the 7th and grabbed a ticket to the Europa League. They really relied in their defense, as they got the 5th best in the Premier League with just 39. They were actually really good on the road (7-5-7), slightly better than they were at home (7-7-5). Burnley have already eliminated Aberdeen in the Europa League qualifiers. They held for a goal-less draw on the road against Basaksehir last Thursday, and will host the Turks for the second leg next Thursday. They didn’t make a lot of moves in the transfer market, reinforcing their defense with Hart (Manchester City) and Gibson (Middlesbrough).
Burnley defeated Southampton by 1-0 in this venue last season, before a 1-1 draw at home. Five of the last six matches between the two featured Under 2.5 Goals. Despite their win last season, Burnley have not fared well in this venue over the years (4-2-3).
Southampton will be really interested to start the season in the best possible way. Don’t get me wrong, Burnley will try too, but they have a crucial match coming up on Thursday. They will surely protect some players, as that match is very important. I expect a low-scoring match here, and the home team just might cover the spread.
Premier League Southampton vs Burnley Prediction: Under 2 Goals (+106)
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