We figured the Indians would start to trend up sometime soon, and perhaps it’s happening right now. How are we playing Wednesday night’s Tribe-White Sox contest with our free MLB picks? MLB Betting Notes and Free Picks: Indians vs. White Sox.
Third game of a four-game series … Cleveland grabbed the opener Monday night 4-0 but Chicago won Tuesday night 5-1, cashing in as +130 home dogs on the MLB betting odds … early action on Wednesday’s MLB betting odds dipped the line on this game about a nickel … Cleveland leads this season series four games to one, with the totals splitting 2-2-1 .. with Tuesday’s win the White Sox are 7-5 over their last 12 games … they’re also 10-0-1 on the unders their last 11 times out, because while they’re not scoring a ton of runs they’ve been getting some pretty good pitching … the Indians are 5-2 over their last seven games and 6-1 on the unders, for similar reasons … at 35-30 Cleveland leads the AL Central by five games over second place Minnesota, while at 23-42 Chicago is just trying to stay out of last place.
Covey (2-1, 2.22) is 2/5 on quality starts this season, and he’s been pretty good as of late … last Friday he held Boston scoreless on three hits through six innings of a 1-0 Sox victory at Fenway, and over his last four starts he’s allowed just three earned runs through 22 1/3 innings … Chicago is 3-2 with Covey this year, the unders 3-2 … in one start this year against the Indians Covey gave up five runs on five hits and three walks through 4 1/3 innings of a 9-6 White Sox defeat .. but only two of those runs were earned.
Bauer (5-4, 2.62), by our tough standards, is 9/13 on quality starts this year, but only one for his last three … last Friday he held Detroit to one run through eight innings, with 12 strikeouts, but in his two starts previous to that he gave up seven ER through 13 innings … Cleveland is 7-6 with Bauer this season, the unders 7-6 … in two starts last year against Chicago Bauer gave up three runs and seven hits through 12 1/3 innings, with 16 whiffs … the Indians won those games by scores of 5-3 and 10-1.
The Cleveland bullpen ranks dead last in MLB in ERA at 5.61 and 19th in WHIP at 1.37 .. we’re hoping those guys don’t get too involved Wednesday night … the White Sox pen ranks 14th in ERA at 3.85 and 26th in WHIP at 1.43 … the Indians ranks 5th against right-handed pitching with a .751 team OPS … Chicago ranks 18th against righties with a .719 OPS … Cleveland is 24-22 this year against RH starters … the Sox are just 17-32 against RH starters.
The Indians only went 1/9 with runners in scoring position Tuesday night, but that’s a stat that tends to balance out over the course of 2-3 games … also, six of Cleveland’s seven wins this year with Bauer have come by at least two runs.
Free MLB Pick: Indians -1.5 (-118) at Heritage