The Cubs are dominating rival Milwaukee so far this season and shoot for that to continue Monday night at Miller Park. Which way are we going with our free MLB picks on this NL Central bout? MLB Betting Notes and Free MLB Picks: Cubs at Brewers.
Opener of a three-game series … Chicago leads the season series 7-1, with unders going 7-1, as the games have skewed very low-scoring, averaging less than five total runs per … most MLB betting odds opened the Cubs at around -130 for Monday, then dropped that line about a dime in early betting action … the Cubbies just won two of three games against Pittsburgh over the weekend, missing the sweep with a 7-1 loss Sunday … so Chicago is 11-3 over its last 14 games … Milwaukee, meanwhile, just won two of three in Philly over the weekend, losing Sunday 4-3 … so the Brewers are 3-5 over their last eight … also, the Cubs are 6-1 on the unders their last seven games, while Milwaukee is 7-3 on the unders its last 10.
At 39-26 the Brewers lead the NL Central by a half-game over 37-25 Chicago.
Monday’s pitching match-up is a rematch of a 3-0 Chicago victory played back on April 28 at Wrigley … Guerra (3-4, 2.83), by our tough standards, is only 4/11 on quality starts this season … however, he’s been a little better as of late … last Tuesday he allowed three runs in six innings against Cleveland, and over his last five starts he’s allowed eight runs through 28 1/3 innings … the Brewers are 6-5 with Guerra this year, with unders going 8-2 … in that one start this season against the Cubs Guerra only gave up one run and three hits through six innings
Lefty Quintana (6-4, 4.20) is 5/12 on QS but only one out away from being three for his last four … last Wednesday he limited Philadelphia to two runs through 5 2/3 innings, with 10 whiffs, and over his last four starts he’s allowed just six runs through 23 innings … Chicago is 8-4 with Quintana this year … in two starts this season against Milwaukee Quintana’s been tough, tossing 13 scoreless innings, allowing just five hits, with 13 strikeouts … the Cubbies won both those games, and both games played under.
Chicago’s bullpen ranks 3rd in MLB with a 2.79 ERA and 9th with a 1.22 WHIP … The Brewers pen ranks 1st in ERA at 2.53 and 3rd in WHIP at 1.14 … Cubs batters rank 3rd against right-handed pitching with a .261 team batting average, 1st with a .342 team OBP and 10th with a .420 team slugging percentage … Milwaukee sticks ranks 26th against left-handed pitching with a .229 BA, 23rd with a .308 OBP and 26th with a .376 slugging percentage … Chicago is 27-21 against RH starters this year … the Brewers are 7-7 against LH starters.
Free MLB Pick: Cubs -115 at Pinnacle